Often the key to winning in fantasy football is finding the best value at each part of your fantasy draft. Here’s a look at some players who stock has dropped quite a bit since last draft season that are capable of a turnaround in the season ahead.
2018 ADP: QB5 / 6.08
Current ADP: QB11 / 9.02
Newton’s shoulder is a concern that will have to be monitored throughout the summer, but an even bigger concern to his fantasy value could prove to be his ability to produce elite rushing numbers. He finished with a career-low four rushing touchdowns last year and didn’t handle a single one of the Panthers’ nine carriers from the 1-yard line the team had on the season. Still, few signal callers drafted outside of the top 10 have a ceiling as high as Newton’s.
2018 ADP: QB9 / 8.05
Current ADP: QB21 / 9.02
Despite throwing a career-high 30 passing touchdowns last season Cousins’ first year in Minnesota was largely considered a disappointment. After rushing for 13 scores during his time with the Redskins, Cousins only mustered one in 2018. With Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen as targets he should easily be a top 20 fantasy signal caller or better if he stays healthy.
2018 ADP: QB11 / 9.07
Current ADP: QB19 / 12.06
The hype train on the 49ers was rolling fast at this time last summer, but once Garoppolo sustained a torn ACL the ride came to a screeching halt. San Fran has loaded up on young offensive weapons, so if Jimmy G can play 16 games with Kyle Shanahan calling plays fantasy success should follow.
2018 ADP: RB8 / 1.09
Current ADP: RB15 / 3.03
Fournette’s current ADP is in line with my projection, but his potential upside may not be. The Jaguars clearly want to run the football and appear to be willing to give Fournette one more chance to prove he can be the bellcow running back they’d like to have in the offense. The upgrade at quarterback with Nick Foles taking over for Blake Bortles might be just enough to make a difference. If Fournette stays healthy and produces he’ll deliver first-round caliber stats.
2018 ADP: RB18 / 3.07
Current ADP: RB37 / 8.04
Phillip Lindsay wound of being the rookie running back to emerge in the Denver backfield as Freeman took a back seat and dealt with an ankle injury mid-season. The team would like to use the duo more as 1-2 punch, rather than have a true lead dog. Freeman seems like a good bet for some progression in his sophomore campaign.
2018 ADP: RB26 / 5.08
Current ADP: RB51 / 12.01
The team faded him down the stretch last year as Derrick Henry posted monster numbers. While Henry is poised to be the workhorse back again, there should be enough or a change-of-pace and passing down role to allow Lewis to easily provide an ROI at his current price and to be a nice player to have for depth in your fantasy backfield.
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2018 ADP: WR22 / 5.02
Current ADP: WR43/ 10.02
Tate had a terrible 2018 and it only got worse when the Lions dealt him to the Eagles mid-season. He was a complete misfit in the Philly passing attack and hit the free agent market this past offseason. He landed with the Giants where there will be plenty of targets up for grabs in the post-Odell Beckham Jr. Era. Tate is a bit boring and has very little TD upside, but he should make for a nice-floor play as a PPR WR3 in his new digs.
2018 ADP: WR24 / 5.04
Current ADP: WR33/ 7.08
The Bears ran more last year than anticipated with the league’s sixth-most run-heavy offense and that led to disappointing passing numbers across the board. However, A-Rob did lead the team in targets despite missing three games. If Mitchell Trubisky can take a step forward and Robinson is able to remain healthy, the 26-year old could still post some very solid numbers.
2018 ADP: WR37 / 8.06
Current ADP: WR54 / 12.05
The Colts paid him $10 million so they must expect him to have a pretty big role in their offense and with his big frame (6-4, 225) look for him to be utilized in the red zone at the very least. Owners shouldn’t reach for him, but landing him in Round 11 or 12 could be a move that pays huge dividends.
2018 ADP: TE6 / 6.10
Current ADP: TE11 / 10.07
Like Robinson, Burton (and the Bears’ passing attack disappointed a year ago. However, Burton did tie for the team lead in targets inside the red zone and that is where it becomes make or break time for tight ends. He’s worth rolling the dice on as a back-end TE1 based on his potential upside.
2018 ADP: TE12 / 10.11
Current ADP: TE19 / 14.05
Doyle was limited to six games a year ago with injuries. In those games where both he and Eric Ebron were on the field, Doyle out-targeted Ebron 33-22 in those contests. Doyle is going to see more snaps than Ebron based off his blocking ability and is the much better fantasy value between the two teammates.