I am back for another season and taking on the oddsmakers and helping you try to take down whatever type of football pool you’re in. Here are my Office Pool Picks for Week 5.
CONFIDENCE
14 Dolphins vs. NYG
13 Lions vs. CAR
12 Bills vs. JCK
11 Commanders vs. CHI
10 Chiefs at MIN
9 49ers vs. DAL
8 Ravens at PIT
7 Eagles at LAR
6 Bengals at ARI
5 Texans at ATL
4 Packers at LV
3 Colts vs. TEN
2 Jets at DEN
1 Patriots vs. NO
Season Record: 39-26-0
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SURVIVOR
Each week I will pick two games, my “Play it Safe” selection as well as my “Out on a Limb” pick:
Play It Safe (4-0): Dolphins vs. NYG
One of the league’s most potent offensive attacks is matched up vs. one of the league’s weakest scoring units in the Giants. This is the week to take the Fish out in the pool and let them swim. Go Fins!
Out on a Limb (2-2): Bills vs. JCK
What a statement win Buffalo made last week. Through four weeks they’ve looked like a contender. Meanwhile, Jacksonville has fluttered on the big stage. I’m not sure they can keep up with Josh Allen in company in another London affair.
THURSDAY NIGHT SPECIALS
Look for my “Against the Spread” plays in a separate article that will run each Saturday this season. Here I will look at my Thursday night betting recommendation.
The Pick:
$100 Over 44.5 CHI/WAS
Season total: +$210 (3-1 on season)
I like the Commanders in this game and likely will lay some action on them at -6 and maybe mixed into some parlays on a smaller alternative spread. However, the bet I like the most is the Over 44.5. The Bears’ D is ravaged by injuries and Sam Howell has shown flashes to suggest he can exploit this matchup. Fields and company won’t have it as easy as last week vs. Broncos at home, but they should be able to make enough big plays to hit this number.
Same Game Parlay Prop Bet (DraftKings)
$20 (+625 DraftKings)
Season total: (-$80)
- Commanders -2.5
- Brian Robinson Over 65.5 RuYd
- Curtis Samuel Over 2.5 receptions
- DJ Moore Over 50.5 ReYd
Follow me on X @DanClasgens for more NFL and fantasy football takes and analysis.
