Office Pool Picks: Week 4

September 28, 2023

I am back for another season and taking on the oddsmakers and helping you try to take down whatever type of football pool you’re in. Here are my Office Pool Picks for Week 4.

CONFIDENCE
16 Chiefs at NYJ
15 49ers vs. ARI
14 Eagles vs. WAS
13 Chargers vs. LV
12 Cowboys vs. NE
11 Jaguars vs. ATL
10 Vikings at CAR
9 Steelers at HOU
8 Saints vs. TB
7 Bengals at TEN
6 Ravens at CLE
5 Lions vs. GB
4 Giants vs. SEA
3 Rams at IND
2 Dolphins at BUF
1 Bears vs. DEN

Season Record: 30-19-0

SURVIVOR
Each week I will pick two games, my “Play it Safe” selection as well as my “Out on a Limb” pick:

Play It Safe (3-0): 49ers vs. ARI
I strongly considered listing the Chiefs here for a second straight week, but my lock pick of the week this time around will be the 49ers. Props to Arizona, they’ve been way more competitive than I anticipated. However, things will be much tougher this time around as the 49ers are way better coached than Dallas and the fact the Cards one means nobody will be sleeping on them here.

Out on a Limb (1-2): Chargers vs. LV
Anytime you take a divisional matchup there is risk to it in Survivor and going with a team that has posted just one win isn’t great. That said, look for the Chargers to pull to .500 here with a big home win over the much-hated Raiders.

THURSDAY NIGHT SPECIALS
Look for my “Against the Spread” plays in a separate article that will run each Saturday this season. Here I will look at my Thursday night betting recommendation.

The Pick:
$100 Lions -1.5
Season total: +$110 (2-1 on season)

Winning in Green Bay has never been easy for the Lions, but they did it last year and they are just a better team this time around too. It won’t be easy, but I am betting on the Lions beating the Packers in this one.

Same Game Parlay Prop Bet (DraftKings)
$20 (+625 DraftKings)
Season total: (-$60)

  • Sam LaPorta Over 4.5 receptions
  • Luke Musgrave Over 37.5 ReYd
  • Jordan Love Over 16.5 RuYd
  • Categories: NFL

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