I am back for another season and taking on the oddsmakers and helping you try to take down whatever type of football pool you’re in. Here are my Office Pool Picks for Week 4.
CONFIDENCE POOL
16 Packers vs. NE
15 Eagles vs. JCK
14 Lions vs. SEA
13 Cowboys vs. WAS
12 Giants vs. CHI
11 Chargers at HOU
10 Browns at ATL
9 Steelers vs. NYJ
8 Bengals vs. MIA
7 Bills at BAL
6 Vikings vs. NO
5 Chiefs at TB
4 Raiders vs. DEN
3 Colts vs. TEN
2 Rams at SF
1 Cardinals at CAR
Season Record: 26-19-1
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SURVIVOR
Each week I will pick two games, my “Play it Safe” selection as well as my “Out on a Limb” pick:
Play It Safe (2-1): Packers vs. NE
Let’s not overthink it, taking Green Bay at home vs. a Patriots’ offense likely without Mac Jones is as big of a slam dunk as we’ve seen in Survivor this year. Take the Packers and sleep like a baby.
Out on a Limb (1-2): Lions vs. SEA
Detroit is much improved, but they still are the Lions. They need to get over the hump by finishing games and winning games they’re supposed to win. This game is just that. Seattle sucks and I will keep betting against them most of the season, knowing in the long run that theory will pay off.
THURSDAY NIGHT SPECIALS
Look for my “Against the Spread” plays in a separate article that will run each Saturday this season. Here I will look at my Thursday night betting recommendation.
The Pick:
$110 – Under 48 (DraftKings -110)
Season total: (2-1 on season; +$100 season total – won last week w/CLE -4)
Unders have been cashing in two out of three games this season, but the public continues to take the overs over and over again. That leads to value. With Tua banged up and the Bengals without DJ Reader Miami will likely look to get the running game going and that should help shorten the game.
Same Game Parlay Prop Bet (DraftKings)
$20 to win $100 (+500)
Season total: (-$70)
Raheem Mostert 35+ RuYd (-165)
Hayden Hurst 20+ ReYd (-200)
Joe Mixon )ver 59.5 RuYd
Joe Burrow 2+ PaTD (-200)
Follow me on Twitter @DanClasgens for more NFL picks & takes!
