I am back for another season and taking on the oddsmakers and helping you try to take down whatever type of football pool you’re in. Here are my Office Pool Picks for Week 17.
CONFIDENCE
16 49ers at WAS
15 Bills vs. NE
14 Eagles vs. ARI
13 Browns vs. NYJ
12 Jaguars vs. CAR
11 Texans vs. TEN
10 Rams at NYG
9 Bucs vs. NO
8 Seahawks vs. PIT
7 Ravens vs. MIA
6 Cowboys vs. DET
5 Vikings vs. GB
4 Chiefs vs. CIN
3 Bears vs. ATL
2 Raiders at IND
1 Chargers at DEN
Season Record: 149-91-0
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SURVIVOR
Each week I will pick two games, my “Play it Safe” selection as well as my “Out on a Limb” pick:
Play It Safe (13-3): Jaguars vs. CAR
Jacksonville is a team many may still have alive and therefore my top pick here in Week 16. They are in a must-win spot at home vs. the worst team in football. The only teams I would take over them this week would be SF, BUF, PHI and CLE (if available).
Out on a Limb (11-5): Rams at NYG
Road teams are always risky and I am scared that Tyrod Taylor gives the Giants a spark. That said, the Rams are playing solid in all facets of the game and a team I think wins here and will be very dangerous come January.
THURSDAY NIGHT SPECIALS
Look for my “Against the Spread” plays in a separate article that will run each Saturday this season. Here I will look at my Thursday night betting recommendation.
The Pick:
$100 Browns -6.5 (DraftKings -134 / -108 with 25% profit boost)
Season total: +$160 (8-6-1 on season)
This game isn’t going to feature a ton of scoring so I am tempted to roll the under, but I like it better at 36 like it was earlier in the week. Now at 34.5 I am shying away. There is some value in the Browns at less than a TD spread over at DraftKings and with the profit boost you can get the 6.5 point number at -108.
Same Game Parlay Prop Bet
$25 (+375 bet365 – get the 50% profit boost)
Season total: (-$145)
Under 38.5 points
Elijah Moore 4+ receptions
Breece Hall 3+ receptions
Follow me on X @DanClasgens for more NFL and fantasy football takes and analysis.
